North, east and south Texas deer forecast


Last week, this column covered deer prospects for the Hill Country (Edwards Plateau) and northwest Texas. This week, it’ll cover the rest.

In general, white-tailed deer population has grown to an estimated 5.4 million from the previous estimate of four million. Improved survey practices combined with nature caused the increase.

Last fall, it rained most of dove season and kept raining throughout the year. According to Alan Cain, Texas Parks and Wildlife Department’s White-tailed Deer Program Leader, winter weeds flourished into the spring, replenishing body reserves lost through the rigorous breeding season and stressful winter. Wet weather continued into early summer.

Rains and weedy nutrition came at the right time for antler development, which should be above average. Cain also expects high fawn survival, perhaps over 50%. It’s usually around 40%.

The Cross Timbers region northeast of the deer-rich Hill Country contains the second most whitetails. Highest deer densities are in areas northwest of Killeen – as high as 133 deer/1,000 acres in places. It’s grown every year since 2005. Cain expects an increase in bucks 5.5 – 6.5-years of age this season. In 2018, 62% of bucks harvested were over 3.5- years old. Hunter success was 66%. Some great bucks should be harvested there this year.

The Post Oak Savannah runs from the Red River to around Floresville with the highest concentrations of deer along I-10 and the lowest along I-20 east of Dallas. Of harvested bucks, 63% of them were 3.5 years old and Cain predicts a few more 6.5-year-olds this season. Hunter success last year was 61%. A buck/doe ratio of one buck for every 4.5 does screams for increased doe harvest.

Population trends in the Piney Woods have fluctuated for the past five years. Fawn production has been low, but antler restrictions have reduced the number of young bucks being shot and others being allowed to age, resulting in good numbers of 1.5, 2.5 and 6.5 bucks this year. As always, Cain foresees the usual number of “tremendous bucks” being brought to ice.

Winding down from the Piney Woods to the Gulf Prairies and Marshes, north of Highway 59, 42% of harvested bucks were 4.5 years old. Not bad. Below Hwy. 59, the habitat becomes more coastal, so the population declines. There are still plenty of deer and good buck age structure.

South Texas remains a place antler-envy addicts consider paradise. Rightfully so. Native habitat is excellent, but conditions and sex ratios vary due to management practices. The 2015 fawn crop indicates more 4.5-age bucks, but fewer 5.5 and older ones. Generally, antler quality will be above-average due to conditions during the critical antler growing period.

Landowners, lessees or others moving or hunting nilgai, deer or other wildlife located in a fever tick quarantined area must have the animals or hides inspected before movement. Affected areas begin in Kinney County and include every county to the south bordering the Rio Grande and curls up the coast to Willacy. Also included are inland counties Jim Wells and Jim Hogg.

Otherwise, the season’s looking great!


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